From Jeff Jensen: I read your analysis of Jacob, and I think youre on the money. But I also think were missing something. Something that kinda explains everything.
Remember the whole theory that there are two groups of Others? This idea was widely debated/speculated in the wake of the Dharma reveals early last season–that perhaps “the Others” are comprised of two competing actions, one still connected to Dharma, and one opposed to it perhaps they are ex-Dharma; maybe they were already on the island. If we return to the idea, maybe season three begins to make more sense.
1. Two months ago, ALL of the Others lived together in the commune, to the north of the island. [This is the meaning of the passage on Mr. Ekos stick; it is directing Locke and co. to where they can find the village that we saw in the season premiere.] Lets call this larger body The Collective, a nod to our good friend and fellow Lost theorist, Andrew Smith
2. The leader of The Collective is the mysterious He/Him, whom we have not yet met. He/Him is all about the lists, the kidnapping of the kids, and the fixation with good people/bad people. This leader could very well be Patchy
2a. My theory? The Collective is the custodian agency of Dharma, designed to police its out-of-control legacy, or posssibly execute its function: bringing people to enlightenment.
3. Juliet was married to Ethan. Goodwin was Mr. Friendlys partner.
4. At some point, there was a schism within The Collective pertaining to the policy toward the castways. Specifically, there was a growing bitterness toward the castaways in light of the killings of Goodwin and Ethan. The dissenting group–the Others–wanted revenge against the castaways for the murders.
5. Number One, who clearly wielded a hyper-controlling, svengali-like hold on The Collective, opposed the Others quest. The schism was a turning point in his leadership; it gave the dissenting Others motivation to stand up to him. Hence, their obsession with “free will.”
6. Ben was the Number Two of The Collective. He agreed to help the Others escape the rule of Number One, in exchange for a promise–to coerce Jack into operating on his tumor.
7. At some point, perhaps as long ago as the season finale of season one, or perhaps sometime in season two, the rebellion took place, and since then, the Others have been pursuing a two-fold mission: a. making good on their promise to Ben b. executing a plan of eye-for-an-eye vengeance against those who have killed Others among the castways: Ana Lucia, Sawyer, and Charlie.
My prediction?
Juliet is going to help Kate and Sawyer escape–although the deal is that she gets to go with them. Her end game: to get back to the beach and kill Charlie, who killed her husband, Ethan.
Juliet will gain the trust of the Beach Camp by outing the spy in their midst–this mysterious Jacob fellow. With their trust gained, Juliet will take advantage of it to try and kill Charlie. She will be stopped, and interrogated by Sayid. In the interrogation the true history of the Others will be revealed.
Your belief that Ben might have been serious about wanting to change Jacks perspective, to make him want to save him, may be rooted in a kind of reality. If Im right that the Collective Others had a benevolent mission, and Bens only interest in being with the Others is to save his life, Ben might still be sympathetic to that mission.
I bet Jack performs the surgery on Ben. Ben survives, and then makes good on his promise to Jack by helping him escape the Others.
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